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VARIATIONS IN THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN FUEL PRICE AND BUS RIDERSHIP AMONG US TRANSIT SYSTEMS

机译:美国公交系统中燃油价格和公交乘车者之间的关系变化

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It has been both surmised and reasonably documented that the exponential growth in busridership seen recently by transit agencies across the US has been spurred, at least in part, by rising fuelprices. A clear relationship exists between ridership and fuel price, although many other factors contributeto ridership growth and fluctuation. These supplementary factors vary between transit agencies andseveral lend themselves to service quality measurement. Perceived service quality is an importantcontributor to public transportation ridership and the research contained herein explores severalcommunity and bus system characteristics associated with perceived service quality and how thesecharacteristics relate to correlation coefficients between fuel price and ridership, using an unconventionaltrivariate comparison method. However, after comparing fuel price reactivity across US systems based ontheir aggregate route densities, operating speeds, peak-hour service frequencies, average trip lengths,and average total travel times, this exploratory research concluded that in a concerted effort to savemoney, cost-conscious travelers on transit systems nationwide appear willing to compromise on aspectsnormally linked to convenience in order to use transit and minimize their fuel expenditures. Of the 341systems with statistically significant ridership-fuel price relationships, 77% had positive correlation.Furthermore, the research found that systems at both extremes of the studied service quality spectraexhibited this positive correlation.
机译:据推测和合理记录,公交车的指数级增长 最近,在美国各地的运输机构看到的乘客量已经至少部分地受到燃料价格上涨的刺激 价格。尽管许多其他因素共同作用,但乘客量和燃油价格之间存在明确的关系 乘车人数的增长和波动。这些补充因素在运输机构和 一些人适合进行服务质量测量。感知服务质量很重要 公共交通出行的贡献者,本文包含的研究探索了几种 与感知服务质量相关的社区和公交系统特征,以及这些特征 特性与燃油价格和乘车率之间的相关系数有关,使用非常规方法 三元比较法。但是,在比较了基于 它们的总路线密度,运行速度,高峰时段服务频率,平均行程长度, 和平均总旅行时间,这项探索性研究得出的结论是,通过共同努力, 钱,全国交通系统中注重成本的旅行者似乎愿意在各方面做出让步 通常与便利联系在一起,以便使用公交系统并最大程度地减少其燃料支出。 341个 乘客与燃油价格之间的关系具有统计学意义的系统中,有77%具有正相关性。 此外,研究发现,在所研究的服务质量谱的两个极端中的系统 表现出这种正相关。

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