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首页> 外文会议>2011 International Conference on Computer Distributed Control and Intelligent Environmental Monitoring >Prediction on Net Carbon Emissions of Yunnan under Emissions and Forest Carbon Sinks
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Prediction on Net Carbon Emissions of Yunnan under Emissions and Forest Carbon Sinks

机译：排放量与森林碳汇对云南省净碳排放量的预测

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This paper predicts Net Carbon Emissions of Yunnan form 2007 to 2050 through energy consumption carbon emissions based on economic growth model and forest carbon sinks based on CO2FIX model. Further, we analyze the influencing factors of carbon emissions reduction and the contribution of forest carbon sinks to carbon emissions reduction, and then study low-carbon economy. The curves of energy consumption carbon emissions and net carbon emissions have an inverted "U" type, respectively with a peak value 129.71 MtC at 2035 and 118.89 MtC at 2035. We study carbon emissions from all aspects, including carbon emissions intensity, the carbon emissions, the declining rate of carbon emissions intensity, and the per capita net carbon emissions. Finally, we found that carbon emissions is more than carbon sinks by forests, and net carbon emissions inevitably increase due to the high-speed development of the economy, Afforestation and protecting the original forests can ecologically reduce carbon emissions. Facing the global carbon emissions, we need to develop low-carbon economy and take the path of sustainable development.
机译：本文通过基于经济增长模型的能耗碳排放和基于CO2FIX模型的森林碳汇来预测2007年至2050年云南的净碳排放。此外，我们分析了碳减排的影响因素以及森林碳汇对碳减排的贡献，然后研究了低碳经济。能源消耗碳排放量和净碳排放量的曲线呈倒“ U”型，其峰值分别在2035年为129.71 MtC和2035年为118.89 MtC。我们从各个方面研究碳排放，包括碳排放强度，碳排放量。 ，碳排放强度下降率和人均净碳排放量。最后，我们发现碳排放量超过了森林的碳汇，并且由于经济的高速发展，净碳排放量不可避免地增加了，植树造林和保护原始森林可以生态地减少碳排放量。面对全球碳排放，我们需要发展低碳经济，走可持续发展之路。

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