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An contegration analysis of relation between human capital and foreign trade — An empirical analysis based on 1978 to 2008 annual data

机译:人力资本与对外贸易关系的整合分析-基于1978年至2008年年度数据的实证分析

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This paper bases on the data collected from 1978 to 2008, concentrating on long-term moving analysis of the relationship between the human capital and the import-export trade. The analysis result proves a long-term balance relationship between the two and that human capital has strong positive effect on the import-export trade. Through the Granger causality tests and the Impulse response function analysis, we figure out that human capital is the Granger reason for the import-export trade and human capital, if there exists a big positive shock, will promote a long-term persistent increase of the import-export trade. Human capital plays a more and more important role in contribution to the increase of the import-export trade.
机译:本文基于1978年至2008年收集的数据,着重于对人力资本与进出口贸易之间关系的长期变动分析。分析结果证明了两者之间的长期平衡关系,人力资本对进出口贸易具有很强的积极作用。通过格兰杰因果关系检验和脉冲响应函数分析,我们发现人力资本是进出口贸易和人力资本的格兰杰原因,如果存在较大的积极冲击,将促进人力资本的长期持续增长。进出口贸易。人力资本在促进进出口贸易增长中起着越来越重要的作用。

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