Oil Price Forecast Based on Integrated Forecasting Method during the 12th Five Years Development Strategies

机译：基于“十二五”发展战略综合预测方法的油价预测

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With analysis of the factors influence on oil prices, using integrated forecasting method which combines growth rate method with multiple regression linear method, this paper forecasts the prices of crude oil and petroleum products. Considering the risk factors, use high, medium and low schemes to increase the prediction accuracy. It shows that Chinese oil prices predicted will be obviously rise during the 12th five year development strategies. And crude oil price will rise slightly lower than product price.

机译：在分析影响油价的因素的基础上，采用增长率法与多元回归线性法相结合的综合预测方法，对原油和石油产品价格进行了预测。考虑到风险因素，请使用高，中和低方案以提高预测准确性。它表明，在“十二五”发展战略中，预测的中国石油价格将明显上涨。原油价格的上涨将略低于产品价格。

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来源
《CSISE 2011;Conference on computer science, intelligent system and environment》|2012年|p.353-357|共5页
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Jiangyan Liu; Mengzhou Zhu;
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中图分类计算技术、计算机技术;
关键词
influence factors; oil price forecast; integrated forecasting method;

机译：影响因素;石油价格预测;综合预测方法;

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Oil Price Forecast Based on Integrated Forecasting Method during the 12th Five Years Development Strategies

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