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A Tool for Generating, Structuring, and Analyzing Multiple Hypotheses in Intelligence Work

机译:用于在情报工作中生成,构造和分析多个假设的工具

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摘要

In this paper, we present an analysis tool that is developed to support the process of generating and evaluating a large set of hypotheses. The computer tool is to a large extent based on two established analytical methods, Morphological Analysis and Analysis of Competing Hypotheses, and aims to facilitate the analysis by offering support for organizing and visualizing information. In particular, the tool provides support for efficient management of links between evidence and hypotheses. By linking evidence directly to elements of a morphological chart, the analyst can work directly with sets of hypotheses and thereby significantly decrease the number of manual steps necessary to complete the analysis.
机译:在本文中,我们提出了一种分析工具,旨在支持生成和评估大量假设的过程。该计算机工具在很大程度上基于两种既定的分析方法,即形态分析和竞争假设分析,旨在通过提供对组织和可视化信息的支持来促进分析。特别是,该工具为有效管理证据与假设之间的联系提供了支持。通过将证据直接链接到形态图的元素,分析人员可以直接处理假设集,从而显着减少完成分析所需的手动步骤。

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