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Research on carbon emission predictiona in Jiangsu Province based on an improved GM (1,1) model

机译:基于改进GM(1,1)模型的江苏省碳排放预测研究

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Thisstudy selectsthe data of Jiangsu Province based on carbon emissions from 2001 to 2010. By adopting the new prediction method of the GM (1,1) model that regards the linear combination of original data as the initial conditions, the carbon emission of Jiangsu Province in the next few years has been predicted. The results show that the new GM (1,1) model'ssimulation precisioncompared to the traditional GM (1,1), and other improved GM (1,1) modelsis higher. Therefore, the new model to predict the Jiangsu Province's carbon emission contributes to achieving carbon reduction targets for 2020, which can be more effective for the government to provide data support and suggestions.
机译:本文以2001年至2010年的碳排放量为依据,采用江苏省的碳排放量数据。采用GM(1,1)模型的新预测方法,将原始数据的线性组合作为初始条件,从而得出江苏省的碳排放量。预计未来几年。结果表明,新GM(1,1)模型的仿真精度与传统GM(1,1)相比,其他改进的GM(1,1)模型更高。因此,预测江苏省碳排放量的新模型有助于实现2020年的碳减排目标,从而可以更有效地为政府提供数据支持和建议。

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