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Study on the coordination degree between fictitious and real economy in China based on grey correlation model

机译：基于灰色关联模型的中国虚拟经济与实体经济协调度研究

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摘要

A coordinated development between fictitious economy and real economy would be beneficial to raise the quality of economic development. The coordination state of China's fictitious economy and real economy has been analyzed in this paper by grey correlation model based on the annual data from 2002 to 2011, and the results show that “the turnover of treasury bonds”, “the turnover of futures”, “premium income” are the first three intimidated factors of the fictitious economy to the real economy. The coordination degree during 2002–2011 in China between fictitious economy and real economy shows significant fluctuations from 0.5320 to 0.7519, and the coordination state is relatively lower from 2007 to 2011 than it in 2002–2006, therefore, more attentions should be paid to grasp coordination mechanisms of the two systems correctly to promote sound and rapid development of China's economy.
机译：虚拟经济与实体经济之间的协调发展将有利于提高经济发展的质量。本文基于2002〜2011年的年度数据，通过灰色关联模型对中国虚拟经济与实体经济的协调状态进行了分析，结果显示“国债周转量”，“期货周转量”， “高收入”是虚拟经济对实体经济的前三个威胁因素。虚拟经济与实体经济在2002-2011年间的协调度显示出从0.5320到0.7519的显着波动，2007-2011年的协调状态相对于2002-2006年相对较低，因此，应更加注意掌握正确协调两个体系的协调机制，促进中国经济健康快速发展。

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