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Multi-site Statistical Downscaling of Daily Precipitation Processes

机译:每日降水过程的多站点统计缩减

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The main objective of the present study is to develop an efficient statistical downscaling (SD) approach for simulating simultaneously and concurrently daily precipitation series at many sites. The proposed approach consists of a combination of two distinct multiple regression models to represent the linkage between global climate predictors and and the probability of local daily rainfall occurrences and the daily rainfall amounts, and the singular value decomposition (SVD) technique to represent the observed statistical properties of the stochastic component of the proposed combined model. The feasibility of the suggested multisite downscaling method was assessed using observed daily precipitation data available at ten weather stations located in the southwest region of Quebec and southeast region of Ontario in Canada and the climate predictors estimated from the National Centre for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) re-analysis data set for the period from 1961 to 2000. It was found that the proposed SD approach was able to describe accurately various precipitation characteristics, including their spatial and temporal variations as well as their inter-annual anomalies. In particular, it has been shown that the proposed procedure was quite efficient in the simulation of daily precipitation series for many sites because of the effective computation of its SVD component.
机译:本研究的主要目的是开发一种有效的统计降尺度(SD)方法,用于同时模拟多个站点的日降水量序列。所提出的方法包括两个不同的多元回归模型的组合,以表示全球气候预测因子与局部日降雨发生率和日降雨量之间的联系,以及奇异值分解(SVD)技术代表观测到的统计数据。提出的组合模型中随机成分的性质。建议的多站点降尺度方法的可行性是使用位于加拿大魁北克西南部地区和安大略省东南部地区的十个气象站的每日观测降水数据,以及由美国国家环境预测中心(NCEP)估算的气候预测指标来评估的。 -1961年至2000年的分析数据集。发现,建议的SD方法能够准确描述各种降水特征,包括其时空变化以及年际异常。特别是,由于有效地计算了其SVD分量,因此已经表明,所提出的程序在许多站点的日降水序列模拟中非常有效。

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