• 主题
高级搜索  >
历史搜索 清空历史
首页> 外文会议>International annual conference of the American Society for Engineering Management >SURPRISES AND COST OVERRUNS: A LEAN RISK MANAGEMENT APPROACH TO REDUCE SURPRISES AND ADDRESS COST OVERRUNS IN AEROSPACE PRODUCT DEVELOPMENT PROJECTS
【24h】

SURPRISES AND COST OVERRUNS: A LEAN RISK MANAGEMENT APPROACH TO REDUCE SURPRISES AND ADDRESS COST OVERRUNS IN AEROSPACE PRODUCT DEVELOPMENT PROJECTS

机译：惊喜和成本超支：减轻航空产品开发项目中的惊喜和地址超支的精益风险管理方法

获取原文
页面导航
  • 摘要
  • 著录项
  • 相似文献
  • 相关主题

摘要

Cost Overrun continues to burden aerospace product development projects, and its contributing factors need to be better understood. In line with this effort this paper explores, through multiple case studies within a major aerospace firm, the relationship between the engineering risk management performance and product development projects scope changes driving Cost Overrun, as it evolves over time. Our research provides fresh and novel empirical evidence about of the ability of an ISO31000 based technical risk management process and organization to uncover uncertainty early in PD projects. A novel lean risk management performance metric entitled Surprises is developed, together with a systematic method for data mining technical expressions of uncertainty. We postulate that a reduction of Surprises could help reduce project Cost Overrun. This lean approach to risk management provides for the early detection of new and emerging risks associated labelled as Surprises, leading to scope changes and Cost Overrun, over the entire product development project lifespan. Our analysis shows that there is a positive correlation between the extent of the independent Surprise metric and the PD project Cost Overrun response. This paper explores how the use of a novel lean risk management method supplements conventional ISO31000 based processes, and can be used to improve the value of the risk assessment process through reduced Surprises, effort required and lead time, to ultimately address the major concern about aerospace product development Cost Overrun.
机译：成本超支继续给航空航天产品开发项目带来负担，还需要更好地了解其影响因素。为配合这项工作，本文通过一家大型航空航天公司的多个案例研究，探讨了工程风险管理绩效与产品开发项目范围之间的关系，随着成本的不断增长，这些变化会导致成本超支。我们的研究为基于ISO31000的技术风险管理流程和组织在PD项目早期发现不确定性的能力提供了新颖的经验证据。开发了一种名为“惊喜”的新型精益风险管理绩效指标，以及一种用于数据挖掘不确定性技术表示的系统方法。我们假设减少惊喜可以帮助减少项目成本超支。这种精益的风险管理方法可以在产品开发整个项目生命周期中及早发现与“ Supplies”（标签为“意外”）相关的新出现的风险，从而导致范围变更和成本超支。我们的分析表明，独立的“惊喜”度量标准的范围与PD项目的成本超支响应之间存在正相关关系。本文探讨了如何使用新颖的精益风险管理方法补充传统的基于ISO31000的流程，并可以通过减少意外事件，所需的工作量和交货时间来提高风险评估流程的价值，从而最终解决航空航天领域的主要问题产品开发成本超支。

著录项

相似文献

  • 外文文献
  • 中文文献
  • 专利
获取原文

客服邮箱：kefu@zhangqiaokeyan.com

京公网安备：11010802029741号 ICP备案号：京ICP备15016152号-6 六维联合信息科技 (北京) 有限公司©版权所有

  • 客服微信

  • 服务号