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Visual scalability of spatial ensemble uncertainty

机译:空间集合不确定性的可视化可扩展性

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Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) models simulate weather conditions by generating 2D numerical weather prediction ensemble members either through perturbing initial conditions or by changing different parameterization schemes, e.g., cumulus and microphysics schemes. These simulations are often used by weather analysts to analyze the nature of uncertainty attributed by these simulations to forecast weather conditions with good accuracy. The number of simulations used for forecasting is growing with the advent of increase in computing power. Hence, there is a need for providing better visual insights of uncertainty with growing number of ensemble members. We propose a geo visual analytical framework that uses visual analytics approach to resolve visual scalability of these ensemble members. Our approach naturally fits with the workflow of an analyst analyzing ensemble spatial uncertainty. Meteorologists evaluated our framework qualitatively and found it to be effective in acquiring insights of spatial uncertainty associated with multiple ensemble runs that are simulated using multiple parameterization schemes.
机译:天气研究和预测(WRF)模型通过产生初始条件或通过改变不同的参数化方案来模拟天气状况,例如通过扰动初始条件,例如,模糊和微手术方案。这些模拟通常由天气分析师使用,分析这些模拟所归因的不确定性的性质,以预测具有良好准确性的天气条件。用于预测的模拟数量正在增长,随着计算能力的增加。因此,需要提供与越来越多的集合构件的不确定性的更好的视觉解见景。我们提出了一种Geo视觉分析框架,使用可视化分析方法来解决这些集合成员的可视化可扩展性。我们的方法自然适合分析者分析集合空间不确定性的工作流程。气象专家定性评价我们的框架,并发现它是有效的获取与使用多个参数化方案了模拟多个合奏运行相关的空间不确定性的见解。

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