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Development of a Wastewater Pipeline Performance Prediction Model

机译:污水管道性能预测模型的开发

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Performance prediction modeling is a crucial step in assessing the remaining service life of pipelines. Sound infrastructure deterioration models are essential for accurately predicting future conditions that, in turn, are key tools for effective maintenance, repair and rehabilitation decision making. The objective of this research is to develop a wastewater pipeline performance deterioration model for predicting the remaining economic life of wastewater pipe for infrastructure asset management. Under Water Environmental Research Foundation (WERF)'s Strategic Asset Management (SAM) Challenge, there was a planned three-phase development of a pipe deterioration model. Only Phases 1 and 2 were successfully completed under the SAM Challenge. In the Phase 1, the research team identified and developed: life cycle of wastewater pipe; failure modes and mechanisms; consequences of failure; data structures; data collection protocols and methodologies. In the Phase 2, research team developed a standard procedure for rating the performance/condition of wastewater pipes. This paper presents the current progress on Phase 3 research for developing a wastewater pipeline performance deterioration model. This paper demonstrates the research methodology and current progress for update of phase 1 and phase 2 efforts and development of the new phase 3 deterioration prediction model. This research will provide utility managers with a practical and efficient model for the predicting wastewater pipeline performance and estimating end of the remaining life deterioration curve for decision making.
机译:性能预测建模是评估管道剩余使用寿命的关键步骤。合理的基础设施退化模型对于准确预测未来状况至关重要,而后者又是有效维护,维修和复原决策的关键工具。本研究的目的是开发废水管道性能恶化模型,以预测用于基础设施资产管理的废水管道的剩余经济寿命。在水环境研究基金会(WERF)的战略资产管理(SAM)挑战下,有计划地分三阶段开发管道老化模型。在SAM挑战赛中,只有第1阶段和第2阶段成功完成。在第一阶段,研究团队确定并开发了:废水管的生命周期;失效模式和机制;失败的后果;数据结构;数据收集协议和方法。在第二阶段中,研究团队开发了一种标准程序,用于对废水管道的性能/状况进行评级。本文介绍了用于开发废水管道性能恶化模型的第三阶段研究的最新进展。本文演示了第一阶段和第二阶段工作的更新以及新的第三阶段劣化预测模型的开发的研究方法和当前进展。这项研究将为公用事业管理人员提供一个实用而有效的模型,用于预测废水管道的性能并估算剩余寿命恶化曲线的终点,以供决策之用。

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