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Preliminary study on the relationship between land finance and the fiscal deficit — To take J province as an example

机译：初步研究土地金融与财政赤字的关系 - 以j省为例

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At present, financial problems of land in the local government are increasingly prominent. Although it to some extent alleviates the financial pressure of local government, it implies rent-seeking, distribution of income, increased financial risk and other issues. There are many reasons to cause land finance. Among them, the local fiscal imbalances, fiscal deficits continuing to increase is an important reason that causes the land finance. In this paper, we collect actual data based on provincial J, and make the empirical analysis of the relevance issues between land finance and the fiscal deficit. By making the unit root test to the two time series, we find that it exists cointegration between land finance and fiscal deficit. On this basis, we use error correction model to establish long-term equilibrium relationship equations between the two variables, and make the Granger causality test of them. Finally, we find that the changes of J provincial deficit are the Granger reasons that cause the changes of land finance. Then, we proposed some suggestions to solve the land finance problems of local government.
机译：目前，地方政府土地的财务问题越来越突出。虽然在一定程度上减轻了地方政府的财政压力，但它意味着寻求租金，收入分配，增加财务风险和其他问题。导致土地金融有很多原因。其中，当地财政失衡，持续增加的财政赤字是导致土地融资的重要原因。在本文中，我们基于省级J的实际数据，并对土地金融与财政赤字之间的相关问题进行实证分析。通过将单位根测试进行两次序列，我们发现土地金融与财政赤字之间存在整创性。在此基础上，我们使用误差校正模型在两个变量之间建立长期平衡关系方程，并制作它们的格兰杰因果关系。最后，我们发现J省赤字的变化是导致土地融资变化的格兰杰的原因。然后，我们提出了解决地方政府土地财务问题的一些建议。

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