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Research on Mechanism of Transmission on Impact of Emergency to Chinese Stock Market Based on Heterogeneous Agent Model

机译:基于异构Agent模型的突发事件对中国股市冲击的传导机制研究

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The impact of the emergency on the stock market mainly performs at the variation of confidence of investors. The traditional financial theories consider that the direction of the variation is consistent, but it does not conform to the real situation of markets. This paper applied heterogeneous analytical approach which is based on behavioral finance to research the behavior of investors, then to construct the Heterogeneous Agent Model (HAM) of impact of emergency on Chinese stock market. In order to verify the conclusion of this model, this article selected the closing price of Shanghai Composite Index to estimate the parameters of HAM. Firstly, we constructed the multi-objective parameter optimization model. Secondly, we utilized the simulation method to study the different influences of internal characteristics of emergency on investor behavior and market performance. The simulation results showed that the internal characteristics of emergency had significant impact on investor behavior in Chinese stock market, and then affected the market performance after the outbreak of emergency.
机译:紧急情况对股票市场的影响主要表现在投资者信心的变化上。传统的金融理论认为变化的方向是一致的,但并不符合市场的实际情况。本文运用基于行为金融的异质分析方法研究了投资者的行为,然后构建了突发事件对中国股票市场的影响的异质代理模型(HAM)。为了验证该模型的结论,本文选择了上证指数的收盘价来估计HAM的参数。首先,我们建立了多目标参数优化模型。其次,我们利用仿真方法研究了突发事件内部特征对投资者行为和市场表现的不同影响。仿真结果表明,突发事件的内部特征对中国股票市场的投资者行为产生了重大影响,并在突发事件爆发后影响了市场表现。

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