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Risk Analysis and Prevention in Mineral Resources Development Alliance Between China and ASEAN Companies: From the Perspective of China Companies

机译：中国与东盟公司矿产资源开发联盟的风险分析与防范：以中国公司为视角

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摘要

From the perspective of China companies, the risk identification, analysis and prevention of mineral resources development alliances (MRDAs) between China and ASEAN companies (CACs) are studied in this article. Based on the perspective of project management, the Grid Method is used to break down the risks of MRDAs between CACs. The risks of MRDAs are broken down into decision-making risks, formation risks, operation risks and disintegration risks from horizon; internal risks and external risks from longitude. Besides, the Modular Method and the Back Propagation Neural Network (BPNN) are used to identify and analyze the risks of MRDAs, respectively. The results show that: There are 23 specific risks in MRDAs between CACs; And based on a case of the Letpadaung Copper Mine project in Myanmar, these risks can be divided into five levels: high, medium high, medium, medium low, and low. Based on the above results, the risk prevention methods are presented: (1) According to the risk level, the corresponding prevention strategies are developed; (2) Chinese companies need to unite the Chinese government departments and local alliance partners to jointly prevent the risks of MRDAs. Among them, the Chinese government departments mainly prevent political risks; the others mainly prevent non-political risk; (3) For internal risk, the changes of internal key risk-induced factors need to be eliminated, controlled or mitigated as much as possible. For external risks, the changes of external key risk-induced factors need to be strictly monitored, and to develop corresponding responses. Finally, for the internal and external risks, the specific prevention strategies are proposed respectively.
机译：从中国公司的角度出发，本文对中国与东盟公司（CAC）之间的矿产资源开发联盟（MRDA）的风险识别，分析和预防进行了研究。基于项目管理的观点，网格方法用于分解CAC之间的MRDA风险。 MRDA的风险从远景上可分为决策风险，组建风险，运营风险和解体风险;经度带来的内部风险和外部风险。此外，模块化方法和BP神经网络分别用于识别和分析MRDA的风险。结果表明：CAC之间的MRDA存在23种特定风险;根据缅甸莱帕丹铜矿项目的案例，这些风险可以分为五个级别：高，中高，中，中低和低。基于以上结果，提出了风险防范方法：（1）根据风险水平，制定相应的防范策略; （2）中国公司需要团结中国政府部门和地方联盟合作伙伴，共同防范MRDA的风险。其中，中国政府部门主要防范政治风险。其他主要是防止非政治风险; （3）对于内部风险，需要尽可能消除，控制或减轻内部主要风险引起因素的变化。对于外部风险，需要严格监控外部关键风险诱发因素的变化，并制定相应的应对措施。最后，针对内部和外部风险，分别提出了具体的预防策略。

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