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Relationship Analysis Between Investment and Industrial Structure

机译：投资与产业结构的关系分析

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Since China followed the policy of reform and opening, investment has been used to stimulate economic development excessively. And the irrational investment structure has led to the imbalance of industrial structure. As a result, there is overcapacity of low-level industry and effective supply shortage of high-quality products and services in China's supply side. In order to achieve sustained, efficient, high-speed growth, the core task of China's structural adjustment at the present stage is to promote supply-side reform. Under the background of supply-side reform, the reasonable and effective investment should be made around the five economic tasks of the implementation to capacity, to inventory, to leverage, and reducing costs and making up short board. The supply and demand effect of investment should be brought into full play in economic growth. Therefore, the purpose of optimizing the industrial structure can be achieved. In the face of new normal, new situation and new requirements, based on the data of 1991 to 2014, this paper applies co-integration test, Granger causality test and VAR model analysis to analyze the relationship between investment and industrial structure, and provides appropriate recommendations for the direction of industrial optimization and the policy choice of supply-side reform.
机译：自中国实行改革开放政策以来，投资已被用来过度刺激经济发展。不合理的投资结构导致了产业结构的失衡。结果，中国的低端行业产能过剩，高质量产品和服务的有效供应短缺。为了实现持续，高效，高速的增长，现阶段中国结构调整的核心任务是推动供给侧改革。在供给侧改革的背景下，应该围绕执行能力，库存，杠杆作用，降低成本和弥补短板的五个经济任务，进行合理有效的投资。要充分发挥投资的供求关系作用，促进经济增长。因此，可以达到优化产业结构的目的。面对新的常态，新情况和新要求，本文基于1991年至2014年的数据，运用协整检验，格兰杰因果检验和VAR模型分析来分析投资与产业结构的关系，并提出适当的建议。为产业优化方向和供给侧改革的政策选择提供建议。

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