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Risk Analysis of Regional Wave Overtopping

机译:区域性海浪超标的风险分析

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摘要

Regional wave overtopping risk of Shuang-Chun coast which locates at the southwest of Taiwan was estimated. The estimation is based on a combination of a statistical model, a wave propagation model and empirical formula of runup height. The statistical model considered the dependences by using copula functions between affective factors to generate simultaneously offshore wave and surge conditions which were used as the input conditions of the CMS-WAVE model to simulate the wave propagation on a complicated coastal bathymetry area. Then, runup heights were estimated empirically. The results demonstrated that top elevations of the constructed seawalls at the study site are too conservative due to the perfect dependence assumption between wave and surge. On the other hand, the high overtopping risk areas were identified and also the risk level was estimated for the natural beach area.
机译:估算了位于台湾西南部的双春海岸的区域性波超危险。该估计是基于统计模型,波传播模型和爬升高度的经验公式的组合。该统计模型考虑了利用影响因子之间的copula函数同时生成海上波浪和浪涌条件的依赖性,这些条件被用作CMS-WAVE模型的输入条件,以模拟波浪在复杂沿海测深区域的传播。然后,根据经验估算上升高度。结果表明,由于波浪和浪涌之间的完美依赖假设,研究地点的人工海堤顶高程过于保守。另一方面,确定了较高的最高风险区域,并且还估计了天然海滩区域的风险水平。

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