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Modeling the Causal Relationship Among Variables that Influencing the Capability of Dairy Supply Chain in Indonesia

机译:影响印尼乳制品供应链能力的变量之间的因果关系建模

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The primary object of this research is to explain and demonstrate the complex structure that links each variable within the dairy milk supply chain in Indonesia through the causal loop diagram (CLD). Referring to the structure of the National Model developed by Forrester (1989), there were six CLDs which belong to six sub-systems used to describe the relationship between variables in the dairy supply chain. The first CLD belong to population and consumption sub-system. The second until sixth CLD belong to milk production sub-system, dairy cattle sub-system, dairy cattle population sub-system, dairy farmer's income sub-system, and government sub-system. According to CLD, there are minimal one important drivers in each sub-system. The findings in this paper put forward some important issues that require for running the full simulation of some proposed scenarios.
机译:这项研究的主要目的是通过因果关系图(CLD)来解释和证明将印尼奶供应链中的每个变量联系起来的复杂结构。参照Forrester(1989)开发的国家模型的结构,有六个CLD属于六个子系统,用于描述乳制品供应链中变量之间的关系。第一个CLD属于人口和消费子系统。第二至第六个CLD属于牛奶生产子系统,奶牛子系统,奶牛人口子系统,奶农收入子系统和政府子系统。根据CLD的说法,每个子系统中最少都有一个重要的驱动程序。本文中的发现提出了一些重要问题,这些问题是运行某些拟议场景的完整模拟所必需的。

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