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2020 Hindsight: Systems Need to Determine Whether or Not They Did Their Best

机译:2020年后见之明:系统需要确定是否尽力而为

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The purpose of this position paper is to present the need for hindsight in SISSY systems and to suggest some initial starting points to incorporate these challenging capabilities into our systems. After discussing the characteristics of human hindsight, as seen in After Action Reviews, reflection in education, and “lessons learned” activities in corporations, we present what we believe are three doable steps towards incorporating hindsight into SISSY systems. First we discuss the need to develop systems that can reason about “situations” and then describe how this folds into the management of uncertainty and identifying knowledge gaps. We second briefly summarize the implications of hindsight for uncertainty management, especially drawing on the strategies that intelligent animals do in regards to unknown environments and how that leads to some of the products we want to produce when adding hindsight to a SISSY system. Lastly we discuss how hindsight requires new types of social processes and what types of information will be important for systems to share.
机译:该立场文件的目的是提出SISSY系统中事后检查的需求,并提出一些初始起点,以将这些具有挑战性的功能整合到我们的系统中。在讨论了事后回顾的特点之后,如“行动后回顾”所述,在教育中进行了反思,并在公司中进行了“经验教训”活动,我们介绍了我们认为的将事后认识纳入SISSY系统的三个可行步骤。首先,我们讨论了开发可以推理“情况”的系统的需求,然后描述了如何将其折叠到不确定性的管理和识别知识鸿沟中。我们接下来简要地总结了事后知觉对不确定性管理的影响,特别是借鉴了智能动物针对未知环境所采取的策略,以及在将事后知觉添加到SISSY系统中时如何导致我们想要生产的某些产品。最后,我们讨论事后洞察力如何要求新型的社会过程,以及哪些类型的信息对于系统共享至关重要。

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