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Neural multivariate prediction using even-knowledge and selective presentation learning

机译:使用偶数知识和选择性介绍学习的神经多变量预测

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We investigate ways to use knowledge and network learning techniques to improve neural multivariate prediction ability. The prediction of daily stock prices was taken as an example of a complicated real-world problem. We make use of prior knowledge of stock price predictions and newspaper information on domestic and foreign events. Event-knowledge is extracted from newspaper headlines according to prior knowledge. We choose several economic indicators according to prior knowledge and input them together with event-knowledge into neural networks. Also used is a selective presentation learning technique for improving the ability to predict large changes by neural networks. We present training data that correspond to large changes in the prediction-target time series more often than those corresponding to small changes. The effectiveness of our approach is shown experimentally.
机译:我们调查使用知识和网络学习技术来改善神经多变量预测能力的方法。作为一个复杂的现实问题的例子,对日常股价的预测。我们利用关于国内外活动的股票价格预测和报纸信息的先验知识。根据先前知识从报纸头条列表中提取事件知识。根据先前的知识选择几个经济指标,并将其与事件知识一起投入神经网络。还使用的是一种选择性呈现学习技术,用于改善神经网络预测大变化的能力。我们呈现与预测目标时间序列的大变化相对应的培训数据,比对应于小变化的那些。我们的方法的有效性在实验上显示。

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