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PIPELINE RISK MITIGATION STUDY

机译:管道风险缓解研究

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This paper presents a case study, which is currently being carried out on a high-pressure sub-sea gas export pipeline. The main objective of the case study is to determine if the risk mitigation measures that are already in place are sufficient considering the level of risk for different sections of the pipeline. The methodology utilizes a Geographical Information System and the Computer Assisted Shipping Traffic (COAST) database to determine the level of risk caused by vessels traveling over the pipeline. The factors considered are damaged due to anchor drop and drag, vessel foundering and grounding over the pipeline. Live vessel tracks obtained from nearby radar stations are used to determine the annual traffic volume, size, type and speed of vessels as well as vessel headings. This information is then fed into the COAST database and presented graphically. The pipeline is then divided into equal area cells and the probability of anchor dropping and dragging and vessel foundering and grounding are calculated based on the type, size and speed of the vessels identified to have passed over the pipeline. The results of the frequency of occurrences and fatalities are presented and then evaluated against the set As Low As Reasonable Practicable (ALARP) level. The "hot spots" of the pipeline are identified and a base case study is carried out for the risk reduction measures that are in place (if any) for each of the "hot spots" identified. Alternative risk reduction measures are considered and a cost benefit analysis is carried out to determine the most feasible option. The risk levels are then recalculated with the risk reduction measures in place to see if this has reduced the risk to ALARP. The COAST database is thought to be very useful as it can be updated to reflect the current navigational practices of vessels and hence, it would be easy to update analyses as and when required.
机译:本文提出了一个案例研究,目前正在进行高压亚海天然气出口管道。案例研究的主要目的是确定已经到位的风险缓解措施是否足以考虑管道不同部分的风险水平。该方法利用地理信息系统和计算机辅助运输流量(海岸)数据库来确定由管道传播的船舶引起的风险水平。由于锚杆和阻力,血管创造和在管道接地,所考虑的因素被损坏。从附近的雷达站获得的直播船轨道用于确定船舶的年度交通量,尺寸,型和速度以及船舶标题。然后将该信息送入海岸数据库并以图形方式呈现。然后将管道分成相等的区域电池,并且基于所识别的血管的血管的类型,尺寸和速度来计算锚固滴的概率和拖曳和接地的概率。出现发生和死亡频率的结果,然后根据合理的切实可行(ALARP)水平,评估设定值。鉴定了管道的“热点”,并且对于所识别的每个“热点”的风险降低措施进行基本情况研究。考虑替代风险降低措施,并进行成本效益分析以确定最可行的选择。然后通过风险降低措施来重新计算风险水平,以了解这对ALARP的风险降低了。海岸数据库被认为是非常有用的,因为它可以更新,以反映当前的船舶的导航实践,因此,很容易更新为所需的分析。

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