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首页> 外文会议>International Conference of System Dynamics Society >MODELING THE DIFFERENCES AND CONFLICTS BETWEEN NORTH AND SOUTH IN THE CONTEXT OF GLOBAL SUSTAINABILITY
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MODELING THE DIFFERENCES AND CONFLICTS BETWEEN NORTH AND SOUTH IN THE CONTEXT OF GLOBAL SUSTAINABILITY

机译：在全球可持续发展背景下建模南北与南方之间的差异和冲突

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摘要

Today, the world is divided into two main blocks: Developed nations with excess capital, or North, and developing nations with excess labor, or South. It is a widely accepted fact that interactions and conflicts between these two blocks play a major role in the context of global sustainability. In this paper, a global SD model with North-South differentiation is built in order to investigate the long-term outcomes of certain policies regarding interactions between these blocks (such as natural resource transfers, capital investments, external debt, immigrations, and trade) in terms of welfare distribution, global persistent pollution, population growth and non-renewable resources. In modeling the world with a North-South differentiation, certain structures and assumptions of WORLD3 are used as a starting point. Causal structure of the model is completed and research is currently at the stage of equation writing and parameter estimation.
机译：今天，世界分为两个主要街区：发达国家，拥有多余的资本，北方，以及具有多余劳动力或南方的发展中国家。这是广泛接受的事实，即这两个块之间的互动和冲突在全球可持续性的背景下发挥着重要作用。在本文中，建立了一个具有南北区别的全球SD模型，以调查关于这些块之间的互动的某些政策的长期结果（例如自然资源转移，资本投资，外债，移民和贸易）在福利分布方面，全球持续污染，人口增长和不可再生资源。在以南北区别建模世界，将某些结构和世界的假设用作起点。模型的因果结构已完成，并对等式写入和参数估计的阶段目前正在进行研究。

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