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首页> 外文会议>Abu Dhabi International Petroleum Exhibition and Conference >Interactive Planning Tool for Integrated Activity Planning to Optimize Maintenance Activity Schedules to Minimize Production Losses Improve Forecast Quality
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Interactive Planning Tool for Integrated Activity Planning to Optimize Maintenance Activity Schedules to Minimize Production Losses Improve Forecast Quality

机译：综合活动计划的互动规划工具优化维护活动计划，以最大限度地降低生产损失，提高预测质量

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Production forecasting is an important business process requirement for operators to plan production operations,budgets,and future projects.Production forecasting can be performed over different time horizons—monthly,quarterly,yearly,and even longer-term over the life of the field.The tools used also depend on the time frame of the forecasting horizon.Activity planning or,more specifically,integrated activity/field planning is an equally important process that is tightly linked with the production forecast- ing.This is challenging for several reasons,such as the usage of different tools for planning and production forecasting,the lack of integration between the different systems,and disconnected business processes. A major offshore operating company(ADMA-OPCO)operates two large fields with ongoing signif- icant brownfield modifications,inspection,surveillance,and drilling activities that impact production. Planning and scheduling these activities,taking into account the production impact and helping to minimize production losses,is a complex task that requires coordination between multiple departments. The operating company recognized significant benefits could be achieved by using integrated activity/ field planning to provide an understanding of the impact of activities on the production forecasts. To achieve this,and with support of the planning group,the operating company developed an application to enable rapid visualization of the production impact resulting from the interaction of all field activities,targeting the following objectives:1)enhance the accuracy and confidence of Field Sustainable Production Rate(FSPR)estimates and production forecasts,2)enable workflow consistency and process efficiency,and 3)enable the realization of improved operational efficiencies and FSPRs.This application was developed as a pilot project,working in partnership with a service company.The pilot is now moving ahead to implementation so that end users can begin working with the system to help optimize activities and minimize production downtime.There are plans to further enhance the system by integrating it with engineering/simulation models.Such integration will provide the added benefit of reducing the forecasting horizon over which the system can be used and will be closely linked with production optimization.
机译：生产预测是运营商计划生产运营，预算的重要业务流程的需求，并且可以在不同的时间跨度，每月，每季度，每年，甚至长期在field.The的生活进行未来预测projects.Production还使用的工具依赖于预测horizo​​n.Activity规划的时间帧上，或更具体地，集成的活性/场规划是紧密地与生产预测─ing.This连接一个同样重要的过程是有几个原因，如挑战的规划和生产预测不同工具的使用，缺乏不同的系统，断开业务流程之间的整合。一个主要的海上作业公司（ADMA-OPCO）工作与正在进行的具有重要意义的icant棕地修改，检查，监控，并钻探活动影响生产两大领域。规划和调度这些活动，考虑到生产的影响，并有助于减少生产损失，是一项复杂的任务，需要多个部门之间的协调。运营公司认可显著的好处可以通过使用集成的活动/场规划提供的活动对产量预测的影响的理解来实现。为了实现这一目标，并与支持计划组的，运营公司开发的应用程序，以使来自所有领域活动的相互作用产生的生产的影响快速可视化，瞄准的目标如下：1）加强外地可持续的准确性和信心生产速率（FSPR）估计和生产预测，2）使工作流的一致性和工艺效率，以及3）使实现改善的操作效率和FSPRs.This应用被开发作为试验项目，在共同合作与服务company.The试点现在正在提前实施，使最终用户可以开始使用该系统的工作，以帮助优化活动，并尽量减少生产downtime.There计划通过与工程/模拟models.Such一体化整合进一步增强了系统将提供额外的好处减少了预测地平线上，系统可以使用并且将亲紧密相连的duction优化。

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