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The Requirement Forecast of Geological Talents in China Based on Advantage of Grey System Theory

机译：基于灰色系统理论的地质人才需求预测

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A reasonable prediction of the demand for geological talents has become a pressing issue in order to meet the requirement of geological talent caused by resources shortage and environment deterioration, and prevent blindness in the higher education expansion. According to the survey of relevant literature, there wasn't a recognized method of geological talents demand forecasting at present. In this paper, we constructed a grey prediction model of the demand for geological talents in China based on grey modeling theory and the related data from 2000 to 2005. Meanwhile, the reliability of grey forecasting model was verified that it had higher prediction accuracy in the field of the short-term forecast of the quantity of geological talent, and a set of proposals for further modification of the model were put forward.
机译：对地质人才需求的合理预测已成为一个紧迫的问题，以满足资源短缺和环境恶化引起的地质人才的要求，并防止高等教育扩张中的失明。根据相关文献的调查，目前没有公认的地质人才需求预测方法。在本文中，我们基于灰色建模理论和2000年至2005年的相关数据构建了中国地质人才需求的灰色预测模型。同时，验证了灰色预测模型的可靠性，验证了它具有更高的预测准确性提出了地质人才数量的短期预测的领域，并提出了一系列建议，用于进一步修改该模型。

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