首页> 外文会议>International conference of international conference on combating land degradation in agricultral areas >Based on a Multi-Agent System for multi-scale simulation and application of household’s LUCC:A case study for Mengcha village,Mizhi County,Shaanxi Province
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Based on a Multi-Agent System for multi-scale simulation and application of household’s LUCC:A case study for Mengcha village,Mizhi County,Shaanxi Province

机译:基于家庭LUCC多尺度仿真和应用的多智能体系:陕西省Mizhi County Mengcha Village为例

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Multi-Agent Systems (MAS) offer a conceptual approach to include multi-actor decision making into models of land use change. Through the simulation based on the MAS, this paper tries to show the application of MAS in the micro scale LUCC, and reveal the transformation mechanism of difference scale. This paper starts with a description of the context of MAS research. Then, it adopts the Nested Spatial Choice (NSC) method to construct the multi-scale LUCC decision-making model. And a case study for Mengcha village, Mizhi County, Shaanxi Province is reported. Finally, the potentials and drawbacks of the following approach is discussed and concluded. From our design and implementation of the MAS in multi-scale model, a number of observations and conclusions can be drawn on the implementation and future research directions. (1) The use of the LUCC decision making and multi-scale transformation framework provides, according to us, a more realistic modeling of multi-scale decision making process. (2) By using continuous function, rather than discrete function, to construct the decision-making of the households is more realistic to reflect the effect. (3) In this paper, attempts have been made to give a quantitative analysis to research the household interaction. And it provides the premise and foundation for researching the communication and learning among the households. (4) The scale transformation architecture constructed in this paper helps to accumulate theory and experience for the interaction research between the micro land use decision-making and the macro land use landscape pattern. Our future research work will focus on: (1) how to rational use risk aversion principle, and put the rule on rotation between household parcels into model. (2) Exploring the methods aiming at researching the household decision-making over a long period, it allows us to find the bridge between the long-term LUCC data and the short-term household decision-making. (3) Researching the quantitative method and model, especially the scenario analysis model which may reflect the interaction among different household types.
机译:多代理系统(MAS)提供了一种概念方法,包括多演员决策进入土地利用变化模型。通过基于MAS的仿真,本文试图展示MAS在微级LUCC中的应用,并揭示差异规模的变换机制。本文从对MAS研究的背景的描述开始。然后,采用嵌套的空间选择(NSC)方法来构建多尺度LUCC决策模型。据报道,陕西省米宁县蒙查村案例研究。最后,讨论并结束了以下方法的潜在和缺点。从我们的设计和实施MAS的多尺度模型中,可以在实施和未来的研究方向上绘制许多观察和结论。 (1)根据我们,使用Lucc决策和多尺度转换框架提供了多尺度决策过程的更现实的建模。 (2)通过使用连续功能,而不是离散功能,构建家庭的决策更为现实,以反映效果。 (3)在本文中,已经尝试进行定量分析,以研究家庭互动。它为研究家庭之间的沟通和学习提供了前提和基础。 (4)本文建造的规模转化架构有助于积聚微地利用决策与宏观土地之间的相互作用研究的理论和经验。我们未来的研究工作将重点关注:(1)如何合理使用风险厌恶原则,并将规则放在家庭包裹之间的旋转中。 (2)探讨旨在研究家庭决策的方法长期,它使我们能够在长期卢卡数据和短期家庭决策之间找到桥梁。 (3)研究定量方法和模型,特别是可能反映不同家庭类型相互作用的情景分析模型。

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