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Forecasting Analysis of Carbon Emission from China's Coal-fired Power Enterprises Based on the Logistic Model

机译：基于物流模型的中国燃煤电力企业碳排放预测分析

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摘要

As the biggest carbon emission country in the world, China has to pay more attention on environmental issues. Coal-fired power enterprises are the major sources of carbon emissions in China. How to predict and analyze the carbon emissions of China's coal-fired power enterprises is a critical issue in the field of low-carbon economy research. This paper calculates 1996-2011 China's coal-fired power enterprises carbon emissions according to the inventory method, analyze the existing situation carbon emissions, and predicts the further trend of China's coal-fired power enterprises carbon emissions through Logistic model. The result shows that the carbon emissions will continue to increase in the further, so it is necessary to encourage energy efficiency and reduce energy consumption per unit to achieve low-carbon economy development.
机译：作为世界上最大的碳排放国家，中国必须更多地关注环境问题。 燃煤电力企业是中国碳排放的主要来源。 如何预测和分析中国燃煤电力企业的碳排放是低碳经济研究领域的一个关键问题。 本文根据库存方法计算了1996-2011中国的燃煤电力企业碳排放，分析了现有的情况碳排放，并通过物流模型预测了中国燃煤电力企业碳排放的进一步趋势。 结果表明，碳排放将继续进一步增加，因此有必要鼓励能源效率，减少每单位能耗以实现低碳经济发展。

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