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The Current Situation and Prediction of Urbanization in China Based on ARIMA Model

机译:基于Arima模型的中国城市化现状与预测

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This document introduces the current situation of urbanization in our country, and analyzes the development trend and the existing problems in the process of urbanization in our country. Then using the basic theory of ARIMA model in sequence theory and combining with the data of urbanization level in our country, this article use E-views and SPSS software to model and predict the urbanization rate data of China from 1982 to 2016. The results show that using ARIMA (0,2,1) model to predict the level of urbanization in China is more accurate in short-term data, which indicates that the urbanization level in our country develops more rapidly and shows a gradual upward trend.
机译:本文件介绍了我国城市化现状,分析了我国城市化进程中的发展趋势和现有问题。 然后使用序列理论中Arima模型的基本理论,并结合我国城市化水平的数据,本文使用电子观点和SPSS软件来模拟和预测1982年至2016年中国的城市化率数据。结果表明 使用Arima(0,2,1)模型预测中国的城市化程度更准确,短期数据更准确,这表明我国城市化水平迅速发展,呈现出逐步上升趋势。

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