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A Study of the Spatio-Temporal Correlation of Housing Prices and Fertility Rate in China

机译：中国住房价格与生育率的时空相关性研究

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摘要

Real estate, as an important pillar of China's economic development, is closely associated with the living conditions of residents. In recent years, more and more attention from scholars have been paid to the rapid rise of housing price, however, the related research on the floating trend of housing price from the family angle is still very scarce in China. In this regard, this paper focuses on the fertility rate, and firstly analyzes the relationship between fertility rate and housing price. Then a hypothesis would be assumed that the housing price has a negative correlation on fertility rate. Moreover, the cross weight coefficient method in the least square method will be applied to conduct an empirical analysis by adopting the panel data in 31 provinces of China from 2000 to 2015. Furthermore, this paper will divide the panel date into three economic groups according to per capita GDP through specific analysis. The results show that there is no obvious negative correlation between housing price and fertility rate in whole penal data from 2000 to 2015, however, the relationship between housing price and fertility rate in two periods change significantly from positive to negative. According to specific analysis in three economic groups, when the housing price increase gradually, the fertility rate shows a downward trends in PGDP>10000 and PGDP<5000 groups and presents upward trends in 5000
机译：房地产是中国经济发展的重要支柱，与居民的生活条件密切相关。近年来，越来越多的学者的关注已经支付了住房价格的快速上升，但是，对来自家族角度的住房价格的浮动趋势相关研究仍然非常稀缺。在这方面，本文重点介绍了生育率，首先分析了生育率与住房价格之间的关系。那么假设将假设住房价格对生育率具有负相关性。此外，最小二乘法中的交叉重量系数方法将应用于通过从2000年至2015年的31个省份采用31个省份的面板数据进行实证分析。此外，本文将根据第三个经济群体将小组日分为三个经济群体人均GDP通过特定分析。结果表明，从2000年到2015年的整个刑法数据中的住房价格和生育率之间没有明显的负相关，但是，两个时期的住房价格和生育率之间的关系从积极达到负面变化。根据三个经济群体的具体分析，当住房价格逐渐增加时，生育率显示PGDP> 10000和PGDP <5000组的下降趋势，并呈现了5000

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