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ETA HTC: Estimating time of arrival under heterogeneous traffic conditions using crowdsensing

机译:ETA HTC:使用众胞胎估算异构交通条件下的到达时间

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In Intelligent Transportation Systems predicting arrival time of bus is a key challenge. The bus arrival time is the primary information for providing passengers with an accurate information that can reduce passenger waiting time. The accuracy of predicting arrival time is highly dependable on several factors such as data input, quality of the data collected and the accuracy of prediction algorithms. Several studies have been implemented by the developed countries in predicting the arrival time under homogeneous traffic conditions. However, the direct implementation of such systems in developing countries especially like India where the heterogeneity of the vehicles can be found on the roads, may not be suitable. The main components in predicting the arrival time is the travel time between the stops in heterogeneous traffic conditions, which need to be incorporated in the prediction scheme for better accuracy. In this paper, ANN, Kalman and Regression models are used also taking delays into account for better prediction of bus arrival time. Data were collected using smartphone having GPS sensor by installing our Android application on it. The performance of our experiment showed that regression model has the better prediction in predicting the arrival time of bus and improvement over other models.
机译:在预测总线到达的智能交通系统中是一个关键挑战。总线抵达时间是提供乘客的主要信息,以准确的信息可以减少乘客等候时间。预测到达时间的准确性高度可靠地对数据输入的几个因素,收集的数据质量以及预测算法的准确性。发达国家已经实施了几项研究,以预测在均匀交通条件下的到来时。但是,在发展中国家的直接实施这些系统,特别是印度可以在道路上找到车辆的异质性,可能不合适。预测到达时间的主要部件是异构交通条件的停止之间的行程时间,需要在预测方案中结合以获得更好的准确性。在本文中,ANN,Kalman和回归模型也被延迟考虑到更好地预测总线到达时间。使用智能手机通过安装我们的Android应用程序来使用智能手机收集数据。我们的实验表现表明,回归模型具有更好的预测,可以更好地预测总线的到达时间和其他模型的改进。

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