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首页> 外文会议>Mexican Humanitarian Technology Conference >Modeling the Power Sector of Wonderland: an integrated system dynamics model to assess a sustainable regional development
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Modeling the Power Sector of Wonderland: an integrated system dynamics model to assess a sustainable regional development

机译：展示仙境的电力部门：综合系统动力学模型，以评估可持续区域发展

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In a modern world, energy poverty limits opportunities and widens the gap between the rich and the poor. Thus, a broad understanding of the underlying mechanisms that relate to the lack of energy access to the regional economy, demography, and environment is crucial for the deployment of interventions aimed to eradicate extreme poverty. Some mathematical models have been proposed to analyze the power sector’s response to the growing energy demand and the increase in the number of distributed renewable energy generation units. However, they fail in assessing the impacts of such changes in a wider field of view, including the interactions between (a reliable) energy access and population growth, economic output, income, and the quality level of the environment. This work proposes a system dynamics model combining both perspectives that, by extending the Wonderland model and based on its equations and dynamics, permits the visual simulation of multiple regions and public policies or interventions. The proposed model is tested in a multi-country case study. In simulations, large time-scales were used to portray the effects of changes upon future generations.
机译：在现代世界中，能源贫困限制了机会，扩大了富人和穷人之间的差距。因此，对与区域经济，人口统计学和环境缺乏能源访问有关的潜在机制的广泛理解对于部署旨在消除极端贫困的干预措施至关重要。已经提出了一些数学模型来分析电力部门对日益增长的能源需求的响应，以及分布式可再生能源生成单元数量的增加。然而，他们在评估更广泛的观点领域的影响，包括（可靠）能源获取和人口增长，经济产出，收入和环境质量水平之间的相互作用。这项工作提出了一个系统动态模型，将两个透视图相结合，即通过扩展Wonderland模型并基于其方程和动态，允许对多个区域和公共策略或干预措施进行视觉模拟。在多国案例研究中测试了拟议的模型。在模拟中，使用大型时间尺度来描绘对后代改变的影响。

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