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首页> 外文会议>International Conference on High Performance Computing and Communications;International Conference on Smart City;IEEE International Conference on Data Science and Systems >The impact of social and economic development on the spread of infectious respiratory diseases, push or constrain? Empirical research from China based on machine learning methods
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The impact of social and economic development on the spread of infectious respiratory diseases, push or constrain? Empirical research from China based on machine learning methods

机译：社会和经济发展对传染性呼吸道疾病的影响，推或约束的影响？ 基于机器学习方法的中国实证研究

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摘要

It is unclear whether socioeconomic factors affect the incidence of respiratory infectious diseases in China. This article uses generalized linear model and generalized additive model to analyze the relationship between socioeconomic factors and infectious diseases. Studies have shown that both models can reflect the relationship between socioeconomic factors and infectious diseases, but generalized additive model has better goodness of fit. Nationwide, considering the impact of a single economic and social factor on the incidence of respiratory infectious diseases, the GDP Per capita, age structure of population, local fiscal budgetary receipts and proportion of higher education have a significant impact on the incidence rate of five diseases (p<0.01). Considering the combined effects of multiple economic and social factors on the incidence, two diseases of pulmonary tuberculosis and cerebrospinal meningitis are significantly affected by various economic and social factors, which are significantly greater than scarlet fever, measles and pertussis. We believe that the incidence of infectious diseases is related to socioeconomic factors, but the influence curves between socioeconomic factors and disease incidence are not in the same direction, and are often nonlinear. In addition, we found that the impact of socioeconomic factors on diseases varies greatly among different regions.
机译：目前尚不清楚社会经济因素是否影响中国呼吸道传染病的发病率。本文采用广义线性模型和广义添加剂模型来分析社会经济因素与传染病之间的关系。研究表明，两种模型都可以反映社会经济因素和传染病之间的关系，但广义添加剂模型具有更好的佳肴。在全国范围内，考虑到单一经济和社会因素对呼吸道传染病发病率的影响，人均GDP，人口的年龄结构，当地财政预算收据和高等教育比例对五种疾病的发病率产生重大影响（P <0.01）。考虑到多种经济和社会因素对发病率的综合影响，两种肺结核和脑脊膜炎疾病受到各种经济和社会因素的显着影响，这显着大于猩红热，麻疹和百日咳。我们认为传染病的发病率与社会经济因素有关，但社会经济因素和疾病发病率之间的影响曲线并不处于同一方向，并且通常是非线性的。此外，我们发现社会经济因素对疾病的影响在不同地区之间变化大。

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