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Dynamics in economic growth:A perspective from System Dynamics

机译:经济增长的动态:系统动态的视角

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Evidence shows that the paths of growth followed by different countries are diverse. While some countries present a fast growth, other countries show a moderate or even, a slight growth. The first behavior could be justified by means of positive feedback loops that provoke strong accumulations while the second one could be explained through interrelationships of positive and negative feedback loops. To generate process of growth, this paper constructs a system dynamics model considering a causal structure that gathers decisions of consumers, firms and a government in an economy. A simulation exercise obtains different paths of growth taking into account both different governmental strategies and boom and bust cycles. Due to the possibilities that the model offers different political aspects tied to governmental strategies, such as distribution of wealth, degree of corruption or level of education, are examined.
机译:证据表明,不同国家的增长路径是多元化的。虽然一些国家具有快速增长,但其他国家表现出温和甚至略有增长。第一行为可以通过积极的反馈循环来证明挑起强的积累,而第二个行为可以通过正相关和负反馈环的相互关系来解释第二个。为了产生增长过程,本文构建了一个系统动力学模型,考虑到在经济中聚集消费者,公司和政府的决策。考虑到不同的政府策略和繁荣和胸部周期,仿真练习获得了不同的增长路径。由于该模型提供与政府策略相关的不同政治方面的可能性,例如审查财富分配,腐败程度或教育程度。

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