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A SIMPLE AND ROBUST METHOD FOR CALCULATING RETURN PERIODS OF OCEAN WAVES

机译:一种简单勇敢地计算海浪回流期的方法

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A new method is introduced for combining the long-term distribution of sea states with the short-term distribution of individual wave or crest heights, conditional on sea state. The method uses a Monte Carlo approach to simulate random realisations of the maximum wave or crest height in each sea state. A peaks-over-threshold analysis is conducted on the random maxima in each sea state in order to estimate the long-term distribution of individual wave or crest heights. The new method is significantly simpler than existing methods such as the equivalent storm approach, requires fewer assumptions and has similar computational times. The new method is applied to a 35 year dataset of wave buoy measurements and is shown to produce almost identical estimates of return values of individual crest heights to the equivalent storm method.
机译:引入了一种新的方法,用于将海状态的长期分布与单个波浪或嵴高度的短期分布相结合,有条件的海区。该方法使用Monte Carlo方法来模拟每个海状态的最大波浪或嵴高的随机实现。在每个海水状态的随机最大值上进行峰值过阈值分析,以估计各个波浪或嵴高度的长期分布。新方法比现有方法(如等效风暴方法)的方法明显更简单,需要更少的假设并具有类似的计算时间。将新方法应用于波浮标测量的35年数据集,并显示出几乎相同的对等同风暴方法的返回值的返回值估计。

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