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Warfighter decision making performance analysis as an investment priority driver

机译:战机决策性能分析是投资重点

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Estimating the relative value of alternative tactics, techniques and procedures (TTP) and information systems requires measures of the costs and benefits of each, and methods for combining and comparing those measures. The NATO Code of Best Practice for Command and Control Assessment explains that decision making quality would ideally be best assessed on outcomes. Lessons learned in practice can be assessed statistically to support this, but experimentation with alternate measures in live conflict is undesirable. To this end, the development of practical experimentation to parameterize effective constructive simulation and analytic modelling for system utility prediction is desirable. The Land Battlespace Systems Department of Dstl has modeled human development of situational awareness to support constructive simulation by empirically discovering how evidence is weighed according to circumstance, personality, training and briefing. The human decision maker (DM) provides the backbone of the information processing activity associated with military engagements because of inherent uncertainty associated with combat operations. To develop methods for representing the process in order to assess equipment and non-technological interventions such as training and TTPs we are developing componentized or modularized timed analytic stochastic model components and instruments as part of a framework to support quantitative assessment of intelligence production and consumption methods in a human decision maker-centric mission space. In this paper, we formulate an abstraction of the human intelligence fusion process from the Defence Science and Technology Laboratory's (Dstl's) INCIDER model to include in our framework, and synthesize relevant cost and benefit characteristics.
机译:估算替代策略,技术和程序(TTP)和信息系统的相对价值,需要对每种方法的成本和收益进行度量,并需要将这些度量进行组合和比较的方法。北约《指挥与控制评估最佳做法守则》解释说,理想情况下,最好根据结果评估决策质量。可以对在实践中汲取的经验教训进行统计评估以支持这一点,但是在现场冲突中尝试使用其他方法进行实验是不可取的。为此,期望进行实用实验以对有效的构造模拟和分析建模进行参数化,以预测系统效用。 Dstl的陆战太空系统部门通过根据环境,个性,训练和情况介绍来经验地发现证据的权重,为人类发展态势感知建模,以支持建设性模拟。由于与作战行动相关的内在不确定性,人类决策者(DM)提供了与军事行动相关的信息处理活动的基础。为了开发用于表示过程的方法以评估设备和非技术干预措施(例如培训和TTP),我们正在开发组件化或模块化的定时分析随机模型组件和工具,作为支持对情报生产和消耗方法进行定量评估的框架的一部分在以决策者为中心​​的人类任务空间中。在本文中,我们从国防科学技术实验室(Dstl)的INCIDER模型中抽象出人类情报融合过程的摘要,以将其纳入我们的框架中,并综合相关的成本和收益特征。

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