A Method for Uncertain Sales Forecast by Using Triangular Fuzzy Numbers

机译：基于三角模糊数的不确定销售预测方法

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This work provides a tool to assess, from sales forecasts obtained by experts, the degree to which the sales forecast of a company is a specific value. It proposes different possibilities of triangular fuzzy number assignment whose vertices are obtained by aggregation functions that act on experts' forecast sales. The method offers too the option that the entrepreneurs or business owners remove or mitigate extreme values based in his personal opinion, thus enabling them to provide knowledge of the company not known to experts. With the possibility of allowing the entrepreneurs or business owners to incorporate or not extreme values, it opens the way to allow them to finally decide the characteristic function of the sales forecast, making the prediction an absolutely personal estimate.

机译：这项工作提供了一种工具，可以根据专家获得的销售预测来评估公司的销售预测为特定值的程度。它提出了三角模糊数分配的不同可能性，它们的顶点是通过作用于专家预测销售额的聚合函数获得的。该方法还提供了企业家或企业主根据其个人意见消除或减轻极端价值的选择，从而使他们能够提供专家不知道的公司知识。由于允许企业家或企业主采用或不采用极端价值，这为最终确定销售预测的特征功能开辟了道路，使预测成为绝对的个人估算。

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来源
《Modeling and simulation in engineering, economics, and management》|2012年|p.98-113|共16页
会议地点 New Rochelle NY(US);New Rochelle NY(US)
作者
Salvador Linares-Mustaros; Jose M. Merigo; Joan Carles Ferrer-Comalat;
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作者单位

Department of Business Administration, University of Girona, Campus de Montilivi s,71017 Girona, Spain;

Department of Business Administration, University of Barcelona, Av. Diagonal 690,08034 Barcelona, Spain;

Department of Business Administration, University of Girona, Campus de Montilivi s,71017 Girona, Spain;

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会议组织
原文格式 PDF
正文语种 eng
中图分类电子贸易、网上贸易;
关键词
OWA operator; triangular fuzzy number; sales forecast;

机译：OWA运营商；三角模糊数销售预测;

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A Method for Uncertain Sales Forecast by Using Triangular Fuzzy Numbers

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