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RISK ASSESSMENT IN UKRAINE: NEW APPROACHES AND STRATEGY OF DEVELOPMENT

机译:乌克兰的风险评估:新方法和发展策略

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摘要

The practice of the approach to risk analysis described herein allows not only for estimation of the risk of emergency, but also for the calculation of the quantitative characteristics of reserve possibilities of the system and its components. It also allows for the description of the current state of the system by ranking a set of risks of emergency occurrences in its separate links, thereby identifying its weakest link and area of needed improvement. The main advantage of this approach is the determination of risk dynamics as the function of dynamic variables of the investigated ecological, social, technological and biological systems. The future strategy of risk analysis development may be connected with the elaboration of computer technologies based on the above approach.
机译:本文所述的风险分析方法的实践不仅允许估计紧急风险,而且还允许计算系统及其组件的储备可能性的定量特征。它还可以通过在单独的链接中对一组紧急事件的风险进行排名来描述系统的当前状态,从而确定其最弱的链接和需要改进的区域。这种方法的主要优点是确定风险动态,作为被调查的生态,社会,技术和生物系统的动态变量的函数。风险分析发展的未来策略可能与基于上述方法的计算机技术的完善联系在一起。

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