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Regional IPCC Projections untill 2100 in the Mediterranean Area

机译:IPCC区域性预测直到地中海地区直到2100年

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Over the last forty years much evidence has been accumulated as to how human activities can ultimately affect the global climate of our planet. However the extreme complexity of the Earth's climate system makes it very complicated to accurately analyse the importance of the induced climate alterations and the impact that they in turn could eventually have on the different ecosystems in the planet. One thing which is now a certainty is that the problem has a global dimension, and as a consequence, all the countries of the world must be involved in its solution. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, known by its acronym IPCC, is the key international body which has been established to assess the global climate change problem. It was founded in 1988 and at its first meeting held in November of that year in Geneva it decided to ask the scientific community for a report in which scientific facts on the global wanning were established. In this manner politicians could be provided with a solid scientific base from which the requirements for action were developed. The IPCC is made up of three working groups (WG), each formed by hundreds of scientists, which deal respectively with the science of climate change itself (WG Ⅰ), the impacts of climate change (WGⅡ), and response strategies (WG Ⅲ). The first IPCC assessment report from these three working groups was launched in May 1990. This was the key input to the international negotiations leading the way to prepare the agenda for the United Conference on Environment and Development (UNCED) in Rio de Janeiro in 1992, where more than 160 countries signed the Framework Convention on Climate Change. Since this date the IPCC working groups have released diverse technical reports and two additional assessment reports, the last of which was published in the year 2001. Some of the results obtained by the IPCC WG1 on climate change projections through the 21 st century in the Mediterranean region are presented in this article. With these future climate scenarios it would be possible to estimate some of the impacts of global climate change in the region and to elaborate response strategies focused on adaptation and mitigation of its socio-economic consequences.
机译:在过去的四十年中,关于人类活动如何最终影响地球的全球气候,已经积累了许多证据。然而,地球气候系统的极端复杂性使得准确分析诱发的气候变化的重要性及其最终可能对地球上不同生态系统的影响变得非常复杂。现在可以确定的一件事是,该问题具有全球性,因此,世界所有国家都必须参与其解决方案。政府间气候变化专门委员会(IPCC)的首字母缩写是IPCC,它是旨在评估全球气候变化问题的重要国际机构。它成立于1988年,并于当年11月在日内瓦举行的第一次会议上决定要求科学界提交一份报告,以建立有关全球衰落的科学事实。通过这种方式,可以为政客提供扎实的科学基础,并据此制定行动要求。 IPCC由三个工作组(WG)组成,每个工作组由数百名科学家组成,分别处理气候变化本身的科学(WGⅠ),气候变化的影响(WGⅡ)和应对策略(WGⅢ)。 )。这三个工作组的第一份气专委评估报告于1990年5月发布。这是对国际谈判的关键投入,这为筹备1992年在里约热内卢举行的环境与发展联合会议(UNCED)的议程铺平了道路,超过160个国家/地区签署了《气候变化框架公约》。自此以来,IPCC工作组发布了各种技术报告和另外两份评估报告,最后一份报告于2001年发布。IPCC WG1关于地中海21世纪气候变化预测的一些结果本文介绍了区域。有了这些未来的气候情景,就有可能估算出该区域全球气候变化的一些影响,并制定出以适应和减轻其社会经济后果为重点的应对策略。

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