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Numerical Simulation and Statistic Analysis of Typhoon Storm Surge in the Sea Area around Shandong Peninsula

机译:山东半岛海域台风风暴潮数值模拟与统计分析

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A refined grid mathematic model is established to simulate astronomicrnand typhoon storm of Sea area around Shandong Province of China inrnthis paper. Based on the Advanced Circulation Model (ADCIRC), anrnastronomical model is established by adding four main constituents tornopen boundary. The typhoon storm model is established based onrntyphoon wind field model. Three typical typhoon processes, namelyrnNo.8509, No.9216 and No.9711, are hindcasted numerically. Thernspatial and temporal distributions of storm surges are analyzed. Afterrnsimulating the series of typhoons from 1960 to 2011 by using thernverified ADCIRC model, the 100-year return values around ShandongrnPeninsula are estimated by a Poisson-Gumbel distribution. The returnrnvalues will be adopted for storm surge disaster mitigation plan in thernnearshore area of Shandong Province.
机译:建立了精细的网格数学模型,模拟了中国山东省附近海域的天文和台风风暴。在先进循环模型(ADCIRC)的基础上,通过增加四个开放边界的主要成分来建立天文学模型。基于台风风场模型建立了台风风暴模型。数值模拟了三种典型的台风过程,即8009号,9161号和9711号。分析了风暴潮的时空分布。在使用简化后的ADCIRC模型对1960年至2011年的台风序列进行模拟之后,通过Poisson-Gumbel分布估算山东半岛周围的100年回报值。山东省近海地区将采用返回值作为风暴潮减灾计划。

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