• 主题
高级搜索  >
历史搜索 清空历史
首页> 外文会议>Proceedings of ninth international forum - international trade and investment >An Empirical Analysis on Dynamic Relationship Between External Trade and Economic Growth in China Based on VAR Model
【24h】

An Empirical Analysis on Dynamic Relationship Between External Trade and Economic Growth in China Based on VAR Model

机译：基于VAR模型的中国对外贸易与经济增长动态关系的实证分析。

获取原文
获取原文并翻译 | 示例
页面导航
  • 摘要
  • 著录项
  • 相似文献
  • 相关主题

摘要

In the paper, there is an empirical study on external trade and China's economic growth from 1978 to 2010 with a dynamic econometric analysis method based on VAR model, cointegration analysis, vector error correction model, Granger causality test and variance decomposition. The empirical analysis concludes: there is a stable equilibrium relation between external trade and China's real economic growth in the long run, and there is a reverse revision mechanism in the relation, and there is bidirectional causality between external trade and China's economic growth. Therefore, china should continue to adhere to the export-oriented development strategy to promote economic growth, and also pay much attention to the import trade's effect in promoting economic growth.
机译：本文采用基于VAR模型，协整分析，矢量误差校正模型，Granger因果检验和方差分解的动态计量经济学分析方法，对1978年至2010年对外贸易和中国经济增长进行了实证研究。实证分析得出的结论是：从长远来看，对外贸易与中国实际经济增长之间存在稳定的均衡关系，并且存在反向修正机制，对外贸易与中国经济增长之间存在双向因果关系。因此，中国应继续坚持以出口为导向的发展战略，以促进经济增长，也应高度重视进口贸易对促进经济增长的作用。

著录项

相似文献

  • 外文文献
  • 中文文献
  • 专利
获取原文

客服邮箱：kefu@zhangqiaokeyan.com

京公网安备：11010802029741号 ICP备案号：京ICP备15016152号-6 六维联合信息科技 (北京) 有限公司©版权所有

  • 客服微信

  • 服务号