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A Quantum-Conceptual Explanation of Violations of Expected Utility in Economics

机译：违反经济学预期效用的量子概念解释

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The expected utility hypothesis is one of the building blocks of classical economic theory and founded on Savage's Sure-Thing Principle. It has been put forward, e.g. by situations such as the Allais and Ells-berg paradoxes, that real-life situations can violate Savage's Sure-Thing Principle and hence also expected utility. We analyze how this violation is connected to the presence of the 'disjunction effect' of decision theory and use our earlier study of this effect in concept theory to put forward an explanation of the violation of Savage's Sure-Thing Principle, namely the presence of 'quantum conceptual thought' next to 'classical logical thought' within a double layer structure of human thought during the decision process. Quantum conceptual thought can be modeled mathematically by the quantum mechanical formalism, which we illustrate by modeling the Hawaii problem situation - a well-known example of the disjunction effect- generated by the entire conceptual landscape surrounding the decision situation.
机译：预期效用假设是古典经济学理论的基础之一，并建立在萨维奇的确定性原则的基础上。它已经被提出，例如在诸如Allais和Ells-berg悖论之类的情况下，现实生活中的情况可能违反Savage的“确定性原则”，因此也违反了预期的效用。我们分析了这种违反与决策理论的“析取效应”之间的联系，并利用我们对概念理论中这种效应的早期研究来提出对野蛮人“确定性原则”的违反的解释，即“在决策过程中，人类思想的双层结构中的“经典逻辑思想”旁边的“量子概念思想”。量子概念思维可以用量子力学形式主义进行数学建模，我们通过对夏威夷问题态势（一个分离效应的著名例子）进行建模来说明，该问题是由围绕决策态势的整个概念态产生的。

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