How Corruption Blunts Counternarcotic Policies in Afghanistan: A Multiagent Investigation

机译：腐败如何打击阿富汗的禁毒政策：多代理调查

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We report the results of multiagent modeling experiments on interactions between the drug industry and corruption in Afghanistan. The model formalizes assumptions on the motivations of players in the Afghan drug industry, quantifies the tradeoffs among various choices players face and enables inspection of the time, space and level of supply chain in which one can expect positive and negative impacts of counternarcotic policies. If reducing opium exports is one measure of effectiveness for NATO operations in Afghanistan, grasping the links between corruption and the drug industry should provide a better picture of the second-order interactions between corruption and investment in improving the governance quality, in deploying security forces tasked with eradication and interdiction and in programs to enhance rural livelihoods.

机译：我们报告了关于毒品业与阿富汗腐败之间相互作用的多主体建模实验的结果。该模型将对阿富汗药品行业参与者动机的假设进行形式化，量化参与者面临的各种选择之间的权衡，并能够检查供应链的时间，空间和水平，在其中人们可以预期禁毒政策的正面和负面影响。如果减少鸦片出口是北约在阿富汗行动的有效手段之一，那么掌握腐败与毒品工业之间的联系应该可以更好地了解腐败与投资在改善治理质量，部署安全部队方面的第二级互动。进行根除和封锁，并实施旨在改善农村生计的方案。

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来源
《Social computing, behavioral-cultural modeling and prediction》|2011年|p.121-128|共8页
会议地点 College Park MD(US);College Park MD(US)
作者
Armando Geller; Seyed M. Mussavi Rizi; Maciej M. Latek;
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作者单位

Department of Computational Social Science George Mason University 4400 University Drive Fairfax VA 22030, USA;

Department of Computational Social Science George Mason University 4400 University Drive Fairfax VA 22030, USA;

Department of Computational Social Science George Mason University 4400 University Drive Fairfax VA 22030, USA;

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会议组织
原文格式 PDF
正文语种 eng
中图分类计算技术、计算机技术;
关键词
afghanistan; corruption; multiagent simulation; empirical models; bounded rationality;

机译：阿富汗;腐败;多主体仿真实证模型有限理性;

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How Corruption Blunts Counternarcotic Policies in Afghanistan: A Multiagent Investigation

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