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首页> 外文会议>Society for Machinery Failure Prevention Technology Meeting; 20050418-21; Virginia Beach,VA(US) >PROGNOSTIC TECHNOLOGY - NEW CHALLENGES
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PROGNOSTIC TECHNOLOGY - NEW CHALLENGES

机译：预测技术-新挑战

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New Weapon System development programs have become highly reliant on the success of efforts to develop and integrate automated Diagnostic and Prognostic technology. These technologies are driving the implementation of new maintenance approaches and are central to achieving the reductions in manning and operating costs on these new systems. This has renewed the R&D focus on prognostic technology.rnWhile prognostic solutions for some mechanical systems and electronic systems are emerging, they yet have to be verified and validated. Development of prognostics for structures, especially in the area of corrosion effects, presents its own set of challenges. There are new challenges in getting the right data to enable prognostics, training the maintainer to deal with failure prediction as opposed to failure detection, and applying the prognostic result in an operational scenario.rnEmerging needs for thorough Verification and Validation (V&V) methods and independent "honest broker" technology evaluation must also be addressed to clear the way for the successful fielding of new systems with integrated prognostic capability.rnThis paper discusses the status of and current issues associated with prognostic technologies, sets some notional definitions, frameworks, and metrics for measuring future development progress and outlines some of the results of recent related workshops.
机译：新的武器系统开发计划已高度依赖于开发和集成自动诊断和预后技术的努力的成功。这些技术正在推动新维护方法的实施，并且对于减少这些新系统的人员配备和运营成本至关重要。这已经重新将研发重点放在了预后技术上。rn虽然出现了一些机械系统和电子系统的预后解决方案，但仍需进行验证。结构预测的发展，特别是在腐蚀效应方面，提出了自己的挑战。在获取正确的数据以进行预测，培训维护人员处理与故障检测相对的故障预测以及在操作方案中应用预测结果方面面临着新的挑战.rn透彻的验证和确认（V＆V）方法以及独立的新兴需求还必须解决“诚实的经纪人”技术评估问题，以便为具有集成预后能力的新系统的成功部署扫清道路。本文讨论了与预后技术相关的现状和当前问题，为预后技术设置了一些概念定义，框架和指标衡量未来的发展进度，并概述了近期相关研讨会的一些成果。

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