Probability of successful completion of microgravity experiments onboard the Space Station subject to random orbital debris collision avoidance maneuvers
Abstract: Explicit formulas are given for the probability of occurrence of at least six successful r-day microgravity experiments per year onboard the Space Station for a given annual expected number of collision avoidance maneuvers, where r is a parameter in the range 23 - 30. Results indicate an 88% probability for 30-day experiments and a 99% probability for 25-day experiments for an expected annual maneuver rate of 8.!3
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