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Modeling the Dynamics of the Egyptian Stock Market

机译:埃及股票市场动态建模

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摘要

The Egyptian stock market has been experiencing a set of fluctuations over the past two years. This was caused by several factors that include the behavior of the Egyptian Economy, as well as the performance of the other Middle Eastern stock markets. In this paper we use System Dynamics as a tool for mapping the performance of the CASE 30, Egyptian Stock market index, to identify the various interacting feedback loops that triggered such performance. These loops are then incorporated in a system dynamics model that is used to understand the causes of such performance as well as developing several scenarios for managing the various factors affecting the Egyptian stock market.
机译:过去两年来,埃及股市一直经历着一系列波动。这是由多种因素引起的,包括埃及经济的行为以及其他中东股票市场的表现。在本文中,我们使用系统动力学作为一种工具来映射CASE 30(埃及股票市场指数)的表现,以识别触发这种表现的各种相互作用的反馈回路。然后将这些循环合并到系统动力学模型中,该模型用于了解这种性能的原因,并开发几种方案来管理影响埃及股市的各种因素。

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