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Development of a Human Resources Transition Simulation Model in Slovenian Armed Forces

机译:斯洛文尼亚武装部队人力资源转移仿真模型的开发

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摘要

The paper describes development of continuous and discrete model of human resources transitions in large organization. The model considers eight different ranks. The calibration of the model was performed where the historical data was used to determine time constants of transitions and fluctuations. Basic simulation runs were performed in order to complete predictive validation of the model. Optimization of the model was performed by application of pattern search algorithm considering the key parameters. By this means the target strategy of the system could be determined. Development and comparison of continuous and discrete event model was performed. Discrete event model was applied in the validation phase. Hybrid approach to the problem provided higher level of confidence. System dynamics methodology proved to be appropriate as the tool for initial development of the model and structural validation reference.
机译:本文描述了大型组织中人力资源转移的连续和离散模型的发展。该模型考虑了八个不同的等级。在使用历史数据确定过渡和波动的时间常数的情况下,执行模型的校准。为了完成模型的预测验证,执行了基本的模拟运行。考虑到关键参数,通过模式搜索算法的应用对模型进行了优化。通过这种方式,可以确定系统的目标策略。进行了连续和离散事件模型的开发和比较。在验证阶段应用了离散事件模型。解决问题的混合方法提供了更高的置信度。实践证明,系统动力学方法适合作为模型初始开发和结构验证参考的工具。

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