Super-short-term Load Forecasting Analysis Section one Analysis of Power Usage's Curves

机译：超短期负荷预测与分析第一节用电曲线分析

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The super-short-term load forecasting is the important part in the balance problem between power supply and power demand under the marketing economy. With the developing of marketing economy, power plants are separated from electrified wire netting in the electric system. The detail plan for power demand is need to be made, and under the condition of making full use of power plant's electricity output and electrified wire netting's carry capability, we need to do our best to satisfy enterprises power demand. Three kinds of methods, i.e. the time series prediction, the season analysis method are used to make accurate prediction for the power usage's curves. Effectiveness of these methods and the derived results are analyzed and evaluated. They show that these methods can raise power production unit's quality and efficiency, can make contributions for continue and fast development of my city's power industry.

机译：超短期负荷预测是市场经济条件下电力供需平衡问题的重要组成部分。随着市场经济的发展，发电厂与电气系统中的电网隔离。需要制定详细的用电计划，在充分利用电厂的电力输出和电气网的承载能力的条件下，我们要尽力满足企业的用电需求。使用三种方法，即时间序列预测，季节分析方法，可以对用电量曲线进行准确的预测。分析和评估了这些方法的有效性以及得出的结果。他们表明，这些方法可以提高电力生产单位的质量和效率，可以为我市电力工业的持续快速发展做出贡献。

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来源
《Third Beijing International Conference on Power Transmission amp; Distribution Technology 2001; Nov 26-30, 2001; Beijing》|2001年|p.468-476|共9页
会议地点 Beijing(CN);Beijing(CN)
作者
Li Yaohong;
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作者单位

NanJing Power Supply Bureau;

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会议组织
原文格式 PDF
正文语种 eng
中图分类能源与动力工程;
关键词
the super-short -term load forecasting; the time series prediction; the season analysis method; the sequential method;

机译：超短期负荷预测；时间序列预测；季节分析法；序贯法;

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3. Rejoinder to the discussion of 'Short-term forecasting of the daily load curve for residential electricity usage in the smart grid' [J] . J. R. M. HOSKING, RAMESH NATARAJAN, SOUMYADIP GHOSH, Applied stochastic models in business and industry . 2013,第6期

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Super-short-term Load Forecasting Analysis Section one Analysis of Power Usage's Curves

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