声明
LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS
CHAPTER 1 INTRODUCTION
1.1 Research Background
1.2 Agricultural Production in Sub-Sahara Africa
1.3 Problem Statement
1.5 Significance of the Study
1.6 Objectives of the Study
1.6.1 Specific Objectives
1.7 Limitation of the Study
1.8 Research Contents and Outline
CHAPTER 2 LITERATURE REVIEW
2.1 Influences of Famers’ Socio-economics Characteristics and Weather variability on rice production
2.2 Farmers’ Perceptions and Indicators for Weather variability
2.3 Impact of Meteorological Factors on Crops Production
2.4 Farmers’ decisions for adopting Irrigation as an adaptive mechanism in the event of weather variability
CHAPTER 3 AGRICULTURE CONTEXT IN TANZANIA
3.1 Agricultural Background
3.1.1 Rice Production and Rice Intensification in Tanzania
3.1.2 Climate
3.1.3 Tanzania Economic Development
3.2 Tanzania’s Agricultural Sector Development
3.2.1 Crops production in Tanzania
3.3 Impact of Weather Variability in the Tanzania Agricultural sector
CHAPTER 4 THEORY AND METHODOLOGY
4.1 Research Site Selection
4.2 Sampling Technique
4.3 Data Collection Procedure
4.3.1 Secondary Data Collection
4.3.2 Primary Data Collection and Questionnaire Design
4.4 Conceptual framework for the Impact of weather, Socioeconomic Characteristics and Adaptation mechanism on Rice Production
4.5 Models Selection
4.5.1 Model for the Impact of Households’ Characteristics and Weather Variability on Rice Yield
4.5.2 Model for Rice Farmers’ Perceptions and Indicators for Weather Variability
4.5.3 Model for Weather Yield relationship with Rice Yield
4.5.4 Models for Decisions Factors for Adopting Irrigation and its Significant to Rice Yield in Tanzania
4.6 Data Analysis Procedures
CHAPTER 5 DATA DESCRIPTION AND EMPIRICAL RESULTS
5.1 Statistical Descriptive Analysis
5.1.1 Household Information
5.1.2 Occupation of the household head
5.1.3 Land ownership and Crop farming by households head
5.1.3 Households’ Rice Production Constraints
5.2 Influences of households’ Socio-economic Characteristics and Weather on rice Production
5.2.1 Socio-economic Attribute of the households’ head
5.2.2 Farmers’ Perceptions of Weather factors with respect to rice yields
5.2.3 The empirical results of the influences of households’ characteristics on rice yields
5.3 Farmers Perceptions, Indicators and adoption behaviour
5.3.1 Farmers’ perceptions of weather variability
5.3.2 Indicators for Weather Variability
5.3.3 Responses to abnormal weather changes
5.3.4 Obstacles for immediate adaptations by farmers
5.3.5 The logistic regression analysis on farmers’ awareness of weather variability
5.4 Impacts of Weather on rice production
5.4.1 Descriptive statistics result for weather variables and rice yield trends(1981-2017)
5.4.2 Results for the trend yield
5.4.3 Results for Impacts of a meteorological factor on rice yield
5.5 Irrigation adoption and its Significant to rice yield
5.5.1 Characteristics of the Irrigation adopters and non-adopters
5.5.2 Influencing Factors for Farmers’ decision to adopt irrigation technology
5.5.3 Modelling contribution of Irrigation technology to rice yield
CHAPTER 6 FURTHER DISCUSSION
6.1 Influence of households’ socio-economic characteristics and Weather variations on rice production
6.2 Farmers’ perceptions, indicators, and awareness on Weather variability
6.3 Impact of meteorological factors on rice growth stages
6.4 Decision factors for adopting irrigation technology by rice farmers and the contribution of irrigation to rice yield
CHAPTER 7 CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATIONS
7.1 Conclusion
7.2 Recommendations
参考文献
APPENDIX
致谢
AUTHOR BIOGRAPHY
中国农业科学院;
