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Impacts of mass media coverage of the economy during normal times and recessions on the Index of Consumer Confidence using time series analysis and Granger causal analysis.

机译：使用时间序列分析和格兰杰因果分析，大众媒体在正常时期和经济衰退期间对经济的报道对消费者信心指数的影响。

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The level of consumer sentiment influences decision making of policy makers, and therefore it is important to examine if media have powerful impacts on consumer sentiment. Based on the theories of business cycles and second-level agenda-setting, this study applies Granger causal analysis and time series analysis to explore the causal relationships among economic reporting by media, consumer sentiment and the real state of the economy embodied in Business Week, the Index of Consumer Confidence (CCI) and the Standard & Poor's 500 (S&P 500). The results indicate that interpretation by media have only limited effects on the level of consumer sentiment in general, and the real state of the economy plays a more important role in shaping consumer sentiment. However, during recessions and times of economic slowdowns, media have a more powerful effect on consumer sentiment though its impact is still smaller than the real state of the economy.

机译：消费者情绪水平会影响决策者的决策，因此，重要的是要检查媒体是否对消费者情绪有重大影响。本研究基于商业周期和二级议程设置的理论，运用格兰杰因果分析和时间序列分析来探讨媒体进行的经济报道，消费者情绪与《商业周刊》所体现的经济状况之间的因果关系，消费者信心指数（CCI）和标准普尔500指数（S＆P 500）。结果表明，一般而言，媒体的解释对消费者情绪水平的影响有限，而实际经济状况在塑造消费者情绪方面起着更为重要的作用。但是，在衰退和经济放缓时期，媒体对消费者情绪的影响更大，尽管其影响仍然小于实际经济状况。

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作者
Su, Lishan.;
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作者单位

Iowa State University.$bJournalism and Mass Communication.;

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授予单位 Iowa State University.$bJournalism and Mass Communication.;
学科 Statistics.; Economics General.; Mass Communications.
学位 M.S.
年度 2008
页码 50 p.
总页数 50
原文格式 PDF
正文语种 eng
中图分类统计学;经济学;传播理论;
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1. Consumer sentiment and consumer spending: decomposing the Granger causal relationship in the time domain [J] . Sarah Gelper, Aurelie Lemmens, Christophe Croux Applied Economics . 2007,第1a3期

机译：消费者情绪和消费者支出：在时域中分解格兰杰因果关系
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机译：嘈杂的多元时间序列中Granger因果时间相关影响的推论。
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机译：跨越时间和主题的媒体效应：新闻报道如何影响消费者信心的四个属性中的两个
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机译：经济衰退时期药品政策干预措施对芬兰和葡萄牙抗精神病药物使用的影响：时间序列分析中断
7. Impacts of mass media coverage of the economy during normal times and recessions on the Index of Consumer Confidence using time series analysis and Granger causal analysis [O] . Su, Lishan 2008

机译：使用时间序列分析和格兰杰因果分析，大众传媒在正常时期和经济衰退期间对经济的报道对消费者信心指数的影响
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机译：时间序列分析的主题。 III。具有非正常冲击的aRIma时间序列模型。

Impacts of mass media coverage of the economy during normal times and recessions on the Index of Consumer Confidence using time series analysis and Granger causal analysis.

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