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Socio-technical transition as a co-evolutionary process: Innovation and the role of niche markets in the transition to motor vehicles.

机译:社会技术转型是一个共同发展的过程:创新和利基市场在向汽车过渡中的作用。

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摘要

Significant reductions in greenhouse emissions from personal transportation will require a transition to an alternative technology regime based on renewable energy sources. Two bodies of research, the quasi-evolutionary (QE) model and the multi-level perspective (MLP) assert that processes within niches play a fundamental role in such transitions. This research asks whether the description of transitions based on this niche hypothesis and its underlying assumptions is consistent with the historical U.S. transition to motor vehicles at the beginning of the 20th century.;Unique to this dissertation is the combination of the perspective of the entrepreneur with co-evolutionary approaches to socio-technical transitions. This approach is augmented with concepts from the industry life-cycle model and with a taxonomy of mechanisms of learning. Using this analytic framework, I examine specifically the role of entrepreneurial behavior and processes within and among firms in the co-evolution of technologies and institutions during the transition to motor vehicles.;I find that niche markets played an important role in the development of the technology, institutions, and the industry. However, I also find that the diffusion of the automobile is not consistent with the niche hypothesis in the following ways: (1) product improvements and cost reductions were not realized in niche markets, but were achieved simultaneously with diffusion into mass markets; (2) in addition to learning-by-doing and learning-by-interacting with users, knowledge spillovers and interacting with suppliers were critical in this process; (3) cost reductions were not automatic results of expanding markets, but rather arose from the strategies of entrepreneurs based on personal perspectives and values. This finding supports the use of a behavioral approach with a micro-focus in the analysis of socio-technical change.;I also find that the emergence and diffusion of the motor vehicle can only be understood by considering the combination of developments and processes in multiple regimes, within niches, and within the wider technical, institutional, and ecological complex (TIEC). For the automobile, the process of regime development was more consistent with a fit-stretch pattern of gradual unfolding and adaptation than one of niche proliferation and rapid regime renewal described in the literature.
机译:要大幅减少个人运输带来的温室气体排放,将需要过渡到基于可再生能源的替代技术体系。准进化(QE)模型和多层次视角(MLP)这两个研究机构断言,利基内部的过程在这种过渡中起着根本性的作用。这项研究询问基于这种利基假说及其基本假设的转变描述是否与20世纪初美国历史上向汽车的转变相一致。;本文的独特之处在于企业家视角与社会技术转型的共同进化方法。该方法通过行业生命周期模型中的概念以及学习机制的分类法得到了增强。使用这种分析框架,我专门研究了企业内部和企业之间的企业家行为和流程在向汽车过渡期间技术和机构的共同进化中的作用。我发现利基市场在汽车市场的发展中起着重要作用。技术,机构和行业。但是,我还发现,汽车的扩散在以下方面与利基假设不符:(1)在利基市场上并未实现产品的改进和成本降低,而是在向大众市场扩散的同时实现的; (2)除了边做边学和与用户互动学习之外,知识溢出和与供应商互动在此过程中也至关重要; (3)降低成本并不是扩大市场的自动结果,而是源自基于个人观点和价值观的企业家战略。这一发现支持在社会技术变化的分析中使用具有微观焦点的行为方法。我还发现,只有通过考虑多个方面的发展和过程的结合才能理解汽车的出现和扩散。各个领域,以及更广泛的技术,体制和生态综合体(TIEC)中的各种制度。对于汽车而言,与文献中描述的利基扩散和快速更新制度之一相比,制度发展的过程与逐步展开和适应的适应伸展模式更为一致。

著录项

  • 作者

    Birky, Alicia K.;

  • 作者单位

    University of Maryland, College Park.;

  • 授予单位 University of Maryland, College Park.;
  • 学科 Political Science Public Administration.;Transportation.;Energy.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 2008
  • 页码 539 p.
  • 总页数 539
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类 政治理论;能源与动力工程;综合运输;
  • 关键词

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