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Maritime safety policy and risk management.

机译：海上安全政策和风险管理。

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Port States which are members of the PSC programme conduct on-board inspections on foreign ships calling at their ports in order to prevent shipping accidents from occurring in their water. This study helps port States make use of vessels' historical safety records to identify potential substandard ships before conducting inspections and determine appropriate port inspection rates. Thus this research contributes to the existing maritime safety policy and risk management in four aspects.;First, this study addresses the effectiveness of the PSC programme and assesses the methods of selecting ships for inspection. Data on ship total loss (annually, from 1973-2006) and on the PSC inspection records (annually, from 1994-2005) were collected and analysed. The results reveal that the programmes are effective to improve the safety level of maritime transport and the methods are effective but the efficiency and stability of these methods should be improved.;Secondly, two propositions are proposed to construct a risk indicator system, based on the theory of managerial function and the theory of predictive index in organizational behavior, which are (i) strengthening responsibilities of the actors within the maritime safety net; and (ii) abstracting characteristics form shipping accidents investigation. The new risk indicator system guided by the two propositions provides a basis for constructing a unified information collection database.;Thirdly, a new method of determining risk level of a ship is proposed based on the TOPSIS model. By comparing with the weighted-sum model used by the Tokyo MOU, it is proven that the TOPSIS model can improve the efficiency of identifying substandard ships under the existing Tokyo MOU information collection database.;Finally, for the first time, a tool, based on Stackelberg game, is proposed to decide an optimal port inspection rate. It is proven that at the equilibrium of the game there are an optimal port inspection rate and an optimal shipowner's effort level. The result indicates that port States may not benefit from over-frequent inspection.;In summary, the whole research provides the basis for forming an integrated selecting-ships-for-inspection system.
机译：属于PSC计划的港口国对停靠其港口的外国船舶进行船上检查，以防止在其水中发生运输事故。这项研究帮助港口国在进行检查之前利用船舶的历史安全记录来识别潜在的不合格船舶，并确定适当的港口检查率。因此，本研究从四个方面为现有的海上安全政策和风险管理做出了贡献。首先，本研究探讨了PSC计划的有效性，并评估了选择检查船舶的方法。收集并分析了船舶总损失（1973年至2006年）和PSC检查记录（1994年至2005年）的数据。结果表明，该方案对于提高海上运输的安全水平是有效的，并且该方法是有效的，但应提高这些方法的效率和稳定性。其次，提出了两个命题，以建立风险指标体系为基础。管理职能理论和组织行为预测指标理论，这些理论是：（i）加强海上安全网内行为者的责任； （ii）从运输事故调查中提取特征。以这两个命题为指导的新的风险指标体系为构建统一的信息收集数据库提供了基础。第三，提出了一种基于TOPSIS模型的船舶风险水平确定方法。通过与东京谅解备忘录使用的加权和模型进行比较，证明TOPSIS模型可以提高在现有东京谅解备忘录信息收集数据库下识别不合格船舶的效率。最后，这是首次基于该工具的工具。建议在Stackelberg博弈中决定最佳港口检验率。事实证明，在博弈均衡时，存在最佳的港口检查率和最佳的船东努力水平。结果表明，港口国可能不会从频繁检查中受益。总之，整个研究为形成一个综合的检查选择船制度提供了基础。

著录项

  • 作者

    Zheng, Haisha.;

  • 作者单位

    Hong Kong Polytechnic University (Hong Kong).;

  • 授予单位 Hong Kong Polytechnic University (Hong Kong).;
  • 学科 Political Science Public Administration.;Transportation.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 2008
  • 页码 185 p.
  • 总页数 185
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类 政治理论;综合运输;
  • 关键词

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