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Slugger or slacker: A sabermetric assessment of free agency on Major League Baseball player performance.

机译:慢跑或慢跑:自由职业者对美国职业棒球大联盟球员表现的评估。

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摘要

This study analyzed Major League Baseball player performance using sabermetric measurements of offensive productivity in order to determine how player production was impacted as a result of free agency. The theoretical framework for this research is based on two competing theories of social and organizational behavior: J. S. Adams' Equity Theory and Victor Vroom's Expectancy Theory. Both equity theory and expectancy theory were developed to predict worker performance under conditions of inequity in terms of under-reward and over-reward.; Sabermetric measurements, OPS, Runs Created, and Win Shares, were utilized to assess performance improvements or decrements for players in each of the following three years: (1) pre-option year---the year prior to a player becoming a free agent, (2) option year---the last year of a player's contract, and (3) post-option year---the first year of a player's new contract. Subjects consisted of Major League Baseball free-agents who signed multi-year contracts of at least two years or more with a their current team or another major league franchise between the years of 1976 and 2003 (n = 234). In order to qualify for inclusion, players must have had a minimum of 250 at-bats in each of the three individual years being examined: pre-option year, option year, and post-option year. Covariates, age and team winning percentage, were incorporated into this study in an attempt to control for specific factors thought to impact individual player performance.; Results of multivariate analyses of variance (MANOVA) with repeated measures revealed that free agency had a significant impact on each of the three performance measures. Follow-up univariate analyses of variance (ANOVA) indicated that player performance significantly declined for each of the dependent variables following free agency. When controlling for age, multivariate analyses of covariance (MANCOVA) revealed no significant effects with regards to the impact of free agency on player performance. When controlling for team winning percentage, however, multivariate and univariate analyses indicated that post-option year team winning percentage significantly affected the impact of free agency on player productivity. For each of the dependent variables, significant findings were consistent with expectancy theory predictions.
机译:这项研究使用针刺性测量进攻效率来分析美国职业棒球大联盟的球员表现,以确定自由球员制对球员生产的影响。这项研究的理论框架基于社会和组织行为的两种相互竞争的理论:J。S. Adams的公平理论和Victor Vroom的期望理论。公平理论和期望理论都被用来预测在不平等条件下的低薪和高薪工人的绩效。 Sabermetric度量,OPS,创建的运行次数和获胜份额用于评估以下三年中的每一年中玩家的性能提升或降低:(1)预购年-玩家成为自由球员之前的那一年,(2)期权年-球员合同的最后一年,以及(3)期权后年--球员新合同的第一年。受试者由美国职业棒球大联盟的自由球员组成,他们在1976年至2003年之间与他们目前的球队或另一个美国职业大联盟的球队签订了至少两年或两年以上的多年合同。为了有资格被包括在内,球员必须在被检查的三个单独年度中的每个年度中至少有250个击球技巧:选前年度,选年和选后年度。协变量,年龄和球队获胜率被纳入本研究,以试图控制认为影响个人球员表现的特定因素。重复测量的方差多变量分析(MANOVA)的结果表明,自由代理对这三个绩效指标中的每一个都有重大影响。后续的方差单变量分析(ANOVA)表明,自由球员之后每个因变量的球员表现均明显下降。在控制年龄时,协方差的多变量分析(MANCOVA)显示,关于自由球员对球员表现的影响没有显着影响。但是,在控制球队获胜百分比时,多因素分析和单因素分析表明,选择后年度的球队获胜百分比显着影响自由球员对球员生产率的影响。对于每个因变量,重要发现与预期理论的预测一致。

著录项

  • 作者

    Estes, Brent Cullen.;

  • 作者单位

    The Florida State University.;

  • 授予单位 The Florida State University.;
  • 学科 Business Administration General.; Recreation.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 2006
  • 页码 140 p.
  • 总页数 140
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类 贸易经济;群众文化事业;
  • 关键词

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